Thursday, October 16, 2025
HomeForexGBP/USD Outlook: Pound Rally Stalls Amid Financial Considerations

GBP/USD Outlook: Pound Rally Stalls Amid Financial Considerations


  • The GBP/USD outlook signifies rising considerations concerning the UK financial system.
  • The UK companies PMI eased from 52.8 to 51.2.
  • The pound rallied after Trump introduced a commerce cope with Japan.

The GBP/USD outlook signifies rising considerations concerning the UK financial system following PMI knowledge, which has put a lid on the pound’s positive aspects. Enterprise exercise within the nation grew solely weakly, rising stress on the Financial institution of England to decrease borrowing prices. In the meantime, market individuals proceed watching commerce developments which have just lately boosted threat urge for food.

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Information on Thursday revealed that enterprise exercise within the UK grew weakly. Notably, the companies PMI eased from 52.8 to 51.2. In the meantime, economists had anticipated the determine to carry at 52.8. The weak enterprise exercise knowledge follows different financial stories, which present sluggish pay development and a contraction within the financial system. Though the UK has already secured a commerce cope with the US, the financial system is struggling, which might pressure the central financial institution to implement extra charge cuts. Market individuals are pricing an 80% probability of a reduce in August. 

In the meantime, the pound has rallied just lately, together with different threat belongings, following Trump’s announcement of a commerce cope with Japan. The information eased worries a couple of international commerce conflict. On the identical time, stories point out {that a} cope with the EU could also be forthcoming, which might additional increase threat urge for food.

GBP/USD key occasions at present

  • US unemployment claims
  • US flash manufacturing PMI
  • US flash companies PMI

GBP/USD technical outlook: Sellers emerge close to 1.3600 resistance

GBP/USD technical outlookGBP/USD technical outlook
GBP/USD 4-hour chart

On the technical facet, the GBP/USD value has pulled again after nearing the 1.3600 key resistance stage. Nevertheless, it nonetheless trades above the 30-SMA, displaying bulls are within the lead. In the meantime, the RSI trades above 50, supporting bullish momentum. 

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The rally began just lately when the earlier decline paused close to the 1.3400 key help stage. Bulls took over by pushing the value above the 30-SMA and have maintained a steep rally. After such a pointy transfer, the value would possibly must pause and retest the SMA earlier than persevering with greater. 

A break above the 1.3600 key stage would strengthen the bullish bias and permit GBP/USD to achieve the 1.3750 key resistance stage. Nevertheless, bears have fashioned a robust candle on the high of the rally, which might shift the sentiment. Nonetheless, the bullish bias will stay intact so long as the value stays above the 30-SMA.

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