Thursday, October 16, 2025
HomeForexEUR/USD Forecast: Peace Deal Uncertainty Weighs on Eur

EUR/USD Forecast: Peace Deal Uncertainty Weighs on Eur


  • The EUR/USD forecast signifies declining hopes for a near-term finish to the Ukraine battle.
  • Ukraine’s president postponed his journey to Saudi Arabia.
  • Market individuals are wanting ahead to the FOMC assembly minutes.

The EUR/USD forecast signifies declining hopes for a near-term peace deal to finish the Russia-Ukraine battle. Whereas this hurts the euro, the greenback beneficial properties on safe-haven demand as market individuals dump dangerous belongings. 

Initially of the week, the euro rallied to new highs after stories that Trump was able to mediate a ceasefire deal between Ukraine and Russia. Trump mentioned the 2 prime leaders have been prepared for peace, which might permit the Eurozone economic system to get well from the impacts of the battle. The 2 leaders have been to satisfy with Trump in Saudi Arabia to debate a peace deal.

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Nonetheless, issues modified barely when Ukraine’s president postponed his journey to Saudi Arabia. Zelenskyy is weary of a deal between the US and Russia behind his again. In the meantime, Russia has moved to demand extra from the peace deal, which might result in additional delays. Tensions between the 2 nations might extend the Ukraine battle and harm the euro. In the meantime, the greenback will profit from safe-haven demand.

Elsewhere, market individuals are wanting ahead to the FOMC assembly minutes, which could comprise clues about future coverage strikes. Market individuals are at present pricing two fee cuts this 12 months after a downbeat gross sales report on Friday revealed weka shopper spending. 

EUR/USD key occasions right now

EUR/USD technical forecast: Bears face the 30-SMA assist

EUR/USD technical forecastEUR/USD technical forecast
EUR/USD 4-hour chart

On the technical aspect, the EUR/USD worth has fallen to the 30-SMA assist after failing to interrupt above the 1.0500 resistance stage. On the identical time, the RSI has dropped to the pivotal 50 stage, separating bullish and bearish momentum. At this level, bulls and bears are doubtless preventing for management.

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Bulls took management when the value broke above the 30-SMA and the 1.0400 resistance stage. Nonetheless, the 1.0500 is a stable resistance stage that has reversed the pattern earlier than. Due to this fact, if the value breaks beneath the 30-SMA, bears will take cost and goal decrease assist ranges. 

Then again, if bulls stay within the lead, EUR/USD will bounce off the 30-SMA to retest the 1.0500 resistance. A break above this stage would solidify the bullish bias and proceed the uptrend. 

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