Tuesday, June 17, 2025
HomeForexBullish outlook stays in play close to 164.50

Bullish outlook stays in play close to 164.50


  • EUR/JPY loses traction to round 164.40 in Wednesday’s early European session.
  • The optimistic view of the cross prevails above the important thing 100-day EMA with the bullish RSI indicator. 
  • The primary upside barrier emerges at 165.00; the primary assist stage to look at is 163.51.

The EUR/JPY cross attracts some sellers to round 164.40 through the early European session on Wednesday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens in opposition to the Euro (EUR) amid the prospects for additional coverage normalization by the Financial institution of Japan (BoJ). The German Harmonized Index of Client Costs (HICP) information for April might be within the highlight in a while Wednesday. 

Technically, the constructive outlook of EUR/JPY stays in place because the cross is well-supported above the important thing 100-day Exponential Transferring Common (EMA) on the every day chart. The upward momentum is bolstered by the 14-day Relative Power Index (RSI), which stands above the midline close to 58.30, displaying bullish momentum within the close to time period. 

On the brilliant aspect, the important thing resistance stage for the cross emerges at 165.00, representing the higher boundary of the Bollinger Band and the psychological stage. A decisive break above this stage may choose up extra momentum and goal for 166.00, the spherical mark and the excessive of November 7, 2024. Additional north, the subsequent hurdle is seen at 166.60, the excessive of October 30, 2024. 

Within the bearish case, the low of Might 12 at 163.51 acts as an preliminary assist stage for EUR/JPY. A breach of this stage may drag the cross towards 161.80, the 100-day EMA. The extra draw back filter to look at is the 160.00 psychological mark. 

EUR/JPY every day chart

Japanese Yen FAQs

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is without doubt one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its worth is broadly decided by the efficiency of the Japanese financial system, however extra particularly by the Financial institution of Japan’s coverage, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or threat sentiment amongst merchants, amongst different elements.

One of many Financial institution of Japan’s mandates is foreign money management, so its strikes are key for the Yen. The BoJ has straight intervened in foreign money markets typically, usually to decrease the worth of the Yen, though it refrains from doing it typically on account of political considerations of its primary buying and selling companions. The BoJ ultra-loose financial coverage between 2013 and 2024 brought on the Yen to depreciate in opposition to its primary foreign money friends on account of an rising coverage divergence between the Financial institution of Japan and different primary central banks. Extra lately, the progressively unwinding of this ultra-loose coverage has given some assist to the Yen.

Over the past decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose financial coverage has led to a widening coverage divergence with different central banks, significantly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Greenback in opposition to the Japanese Yen. The BoJ determination in 2024 to progressively abandon the ultra-loose coverage, coupled with interest-rate cuts in different main central banks, is narrowing this differential.

The Japanese Yen is usually seen as a safe-haven funding. Because of this in instances of market stress, traders usually tend to put their cash within the Japanese foreign money on account of its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent instances are prone to strengthen the Yen’s worth in opposition to different currencies seen as extra dangerous to spend money on.

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