Sunday, December 7, 2025
HomeForexEUR/USD Outlook: Euro Holds Regular as US Shutdown Hopes Raise the Sentiment

EUR/USD Outlook: Euro Holds Regular as US Shutdown Hopes Raise the Sentiment


  • The EUR/USD outlook displays range-bound momentum amid US authorities shutdown optimism.
  • Luis de Guindos stays optimistic, with present rates of interest, and suggests no modifications if the forex inflation tendencies persist. 
  • Merchants look forward to the EUR Sentix Investor Confidence and remarks from FOMC officers for contemporary impetus. 

The EUR/USD outlook exhibits a light bullish bias because the pair trades close to 1.1570 on Monday. The US greenback stays below delicate strain because the Senate advances a funding invoice to finish the extended US authorities shutdown, with a 60-40 vote break up. Though the invoice requires approval from the White Home Representatives, and President Trump’s signature, the optimism surrounding it has improved danger urge for food throughout international markets. 

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In the meantime, the Greenback Index (DXY) holds close to 99.64, slipping 0.1% after buyers stepped again amid hopes of imminent reopening. Nonetheless, the rising US Treasury yields and lowered expectations of a December Fed reduce capped broader losses for the buck. Markets worth in a 63% likelihood of a December Fed reduce, which may go down additional on account of potential financial stabilization.

In Europe, the euro witnessed restricted momentum and remained unaffected by ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos’s remarks. He emphasised that the present rates of interest are acceptable, lest inflation tendencies or projections change. He additionally famous that inflation stays close to the two% goal, with bettering providers and wage progress and reducing uncertainty. The euro didn’t react as merchants shifted focus in the direction of the US fiscal headlines and international danger sentiment. 

EUR/USD Each day Key Occasions

The main occasions within the day embody:

  • Sentix Investor Confidence
  • FOMC Member Musalem Speaks
  • FOMC Member Daly Speaks

On Monday, merchants look ahead to the EUR Sentix Investor Confidence for insights into the investor sentiments and speeches from FOMC members Musalem and Daly for extra impetus. 

EUR/USD Technical Outlook: Bulls Eye Resistance at 1.1640

EUR/USD Technical OutlookEUR/USD Technical Outlook
EUR/USD 4-hour chart

The EUR/USD 4-hour chart exhibits a bullish bias because the pair trades close to 1.1570, after rebounding from latest lows below 1.1500. The value stays above the 20-period and 50-period MA, signaling short-term shopping for momentum. The 200-period MA, close to 1.1600, acts as a robust resistance zone. 

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The RSI stands close to 60, pointing in the direction of an bettering bullish bias and room for additional positive aspects. The latest larger lows recommend shopping for strain. However the pair requires a break above 1.1640 for a continued bullish bias. In case it fails to breach the resistance, contemporary promoting strain may emerge, driving the pair again to its earlier lows. 

Assist Ranges

Resistance Ranges

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