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HomeForexEUR/USD Outlook: Russia-Ukraine Optimism Boosts Euro

EUR/USD Outlook: Russia-Ukraine Optimism Boosts Euro


  • The EUR/USD outlook exhibits an growing probability of ending the Ukraine warfare.
  • The Ukraine warfare has had destructive results on the Eurozone economic system.
  • The greenback rallied in opposition to most of its friends besides the euro after US inflation information got here in greater than anticipated.

The EUR/USD outlook stays constructive amid the growing probability of ending the Russia-Ukraine warfare. In consequence, the euro gained regardless of upbeat US inflation figures that strengthened the greenback in opposition to most of its friends.

Reviews on Wednesday revealed that the US President is able to mediate an finish to the Russia-Ukraine warfare. Trump talked to Ukraine’s Zelenskiy and Russia’s Putin and stated that each leaders wished peace and an finish to the warfare. 

For nearly three years now, the Ukraine warfare has had destructive results on the Eurozone economic system. On the identical time, it has impacted the worldwide economic system, particularly resulting in a dramatic surge in oil costs that pushed inflation in most main economies greater. An finish to the warfare would eradicate the ever-present danger of an escalation. Furthermore, it might enable the Eurozone economic system to get better from the impacts of the warfare. 

Elsewhere, the greenback rallied in opposition to most of its friends besides the euro after inflation information got here in greater than anticipated. The month-to-month CPI elevated by 0.5%, above estimates of 0.3%. In the meantime, the annual determine elevated by 3.0%, beating forecasts of two.9%. The upbeat report led to a drop in Fed charge minimize expectations, supporting the greenback. 

EUR/USD key occasions in the present day

  • US Core PPI m/m
  • US PPI m/m
  • US unemployment claims

EUR/USD technical outlook: Bulls eye the 1.0500 resistance

EUR/USD technical outlookEUR/USD technical outlook
EUR/USD 4-hour chart

On the technical aspect, the EUR/USD worth has damaged above a robust resistance zone comprising the 30-SMA, a bearish trendline and the 1.0400 resistance stage. The break signifies a surge in bullish momentum that would result in a brand new uptrend. 

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Initially, the value was buying and selling in a corrective bearish transfer, chopping by way of the 30-SMA. Nevertheless, when the value made the next low close to the 1.0301 assist stage, it was an indication that bulls would search the next excessive. 

In consequence, the value rallied and broke above the 30-SMA and its resistance trendline. Furthermore, it broke above the 1.0400 and made the next excessive. Given the stronger bullish momentum, EUR/USD may climb to retest the 1.0500 resistance. A break above this stage will strengthen the bias.

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