Arthur Hayes warned that Tether is operating a dangerous rate of interest commerce that would threaten USDT solvency if markets transfer towards the stablecoin issuer.
Abstract
- Arthur Hayes says a 30% drop in Tether’s BTC and gold may erase its fairness.
- Hayes argues the corporate’s interest-rate technique might pressure USDT solvency.
- Tether shuts Uruguay mining as reserves hit $181B dominated by U.S. Treasuries.
The BitMEX co-founder analyzed Tether’s newest attestation report and famous {that a} 30% decline within the firm’s Bitcoin and gold holdings would wipe out fairness.
The stablecoin issuer holds $9.86 billion in Bitcoin and $12.92 billion in valuable metals in line with its asset breakdown.
Hayes wrote on X that the corporate seems to be betting on Federal Reserve fee cuts, which might crush their curiosity earnings from U.S. Treasury payments and different fixed-income property.
Hayes questions Tether’s steadiness sheet math
“The Tether people are within the early innings of operating an enormous rate of interest commerce,” Hayes posted. “They’re shopping for gold and BTC that ought to in concept moon as the worth of cash falls.”
The previous BitMEX CEO calculated {that a} roughly 30% drop in mixed gold and Bitcoin positions would remove Tether’s fairness cushion. “Then USDT can be in concept bancrupt,” he said.
Hayes predicted that enormous USDT holders and exchanges will demand real-time steadiness sheet entry to watch solvency dangers. “Get out your popcorn, I anticipate the MSM to run wild with this,” he wrote.
One X consumer defended Tether’s technique, explaining that Bitcoin and gold purchases come from earnings and extra reserves somewhat than newly issued USDT. “They solely mint when there’s demand, and the BTC/gold allocations are made utilizing the excess they generate,” the consumer wrote.
Hayes questioned this rationalization. “That was my assumption as effectively, however then why are their money property how they outline them lower than excellent liabilities? What am I lacking right here?” he replied.
Tether shuts down Uruguay mining operations
In different Tether information, the stablecoin issuer confirmed it’s closing its mining enterprise in Uruguay after electrical energy pricing negotiations failed.
The corporate is letting go of roughly 30 of its 38 employees members within the nation because the enterprise winds down.
The stablecoin issuer’s complete reserves stand at $181.22 billion backing circulating tokens. U.S. Treasury payments comprise $112.42 billion of holdings, making up the biggest asset class.
The corporate additionally holds $17.99 billion in in a single day reverse repurchase agreements and $6.41 billion in cash market funds.
