Rivian Automotive RIVN will doubtless concentrate on the longer term launch of its R2 car when presenting first-quarter monetary outcomes after market shut Tuesday.
Listed below are the earnings and income estimates, what analysts are saying forward of the report and key gadgets to observe.
Earnings Estimates: Analysts count on Rivian to report first-quarter income of $1.0 billion, down from $1.2 billion in final yr’s first quarter in accordance with information from Benzinga Professional.
Rivian beat the analyst estimate for income within the fourth quarter and has crushed analyst estimates in seven of the final 10 quarters.
Analysts count on Rivian to report a first-quarter lack of 76 cents per share, an enchancment from a lack of $1.24 in final yr’s first quarter.
Rivian beat the analyst estimate for earnings per share within the fourth quarter and has crushed analyst estimates in seven of the final 10 quarters.
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What Analysts Are Saying: Analysts have been decreasing the value goal on Rivian inventory forward of first-quarter monetary outcomes.
Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter downgraded the inventory from Chubby to Impartial and lowered the value goal from $19 to $13.
The analyst mentioned Rivian’s outlook within the coming years is favorable, however it faces a short-term outlook that will not excite traders and several other potential detrimental headwinds.
Potter mentioned Rivian has “no catalysts in 2025.”
“We battle to establish upside catalysts in 2025. In 2026, traders can stay up for the R2 launch and (possibly) JV buyer wins,” Potter mentioned.
The analyst mentioned the lower-priced R2 launch is important to Rivian inventory, however would not launch till 2026.
Whereas Rivian will get downgraded, Potter famous the inventory is Piper’s favourite Impartial-rated inventory within the sector.
“We like Rivian’s technique, notably self-reliance in electronics and software program.”
Potter mentioned together with Rivian having no catalysts in 2025, the corporate faces a possible “triple-whammy” of coverage danger that might occur in 2025 or past.
There are three coverage dangers to think about: the Trump administration might pull Rivian’s Division of Power mortgage funding; the $7,500 EV tax credit score could possibly be canceled; and CARB (California Air Sources Board) might lose the power to control emissions, which might harm credit score income.
Listed below are different current analyst rankings on Rivian and their worth targets:
- JPMorgan: Maintained Underweight ranking, lowered worth goal from $11 to $10
- Baird: Maintained Impartial ranking, lowered worth goal from $16 to $14
- Goldman Sachs: Maintained Impartial ranking, lowered worth goal from $14 to $12
- UBS: Maintained Impartial ranking, lowered worth goal from $14 to $12
- Mizuho: Maintained Impartial ranking, lowered worth goal from $11 to $10
Key Objects to Watch: Analysts might ask questions on Rivian’s current addition to the board of administrators. The appointment of Coherent Corp co-founder and CEO Aidan Gomez as a board member might sign a bigger concentrate on AI.
Traders and analysts could possibly be in search of extra commentary on Rivian’s expertise and AI, which could possibly be underappreciated given its present decrease car manufacturing than different rivals.
Rivian beforehand introduced 8,640 car deliveries within the first quarter, which was down 36.4% year-over-year. The corporate has reaffirmed its full-year 2025 supply steering of a spread of 46,000 to 51,000 autos.
Analysts and traders will wish to see this steering maintained and would additionally love extra colour on an early have a look at 2026 supply estimates with the R2 scheduled for deliveries within the first half of 2026.
Rivian beforehand introduced it was opening up its supply van orders to prospects exterior of early investor and associate Amazon.com Inc. The corporate lately introduced it has signed a deal with meal package firm HelloFresh for 70 Rivian vans to be added to its business car fleet.
The electrical car firm will doubtless be requested to touch upon the influence tariffs and the brand new White Home administration might have on upcoming manufacturing and deliveries. Rivian produces nearly all of its autos in the USA, however it could possibly be impacted by the tip of tax credit for electrical autos.
In current interviews, Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe has proven confidence within the R2 launch and known as for the EV sector to have extra autos below the $50,000 worth level. The R2 is anticipated to have a beginning worth of round $45,000.
Scaringe will doubtless share his perception that this car launch is vital for Rivian’s monetary future and for the EV sector at massive.
RIVN Worth Motion: Rivian inventory is down 1.9% to $13.56 on Monday versus a 52-week buying and selling vary of $9.25 to $18.86. Rivian inventory is up 2.8% year-to-date in 2025 and up 31.8% over the past yr.
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